Downloads
Access our conflict forecasts as raw data. Country-level and grid-level predictions available in CSV and GeoJSON formats.
Latest update: 24/11/2025
Country-level Forecasts (CSV)
Six‑month‑ahead predictions made in each month.
Bulk download (recent periods)
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Preview (first 5 rows and columns)
,Afghanistan,Albania,Algeria,Angola 2025-10-31,16.811486635877912,0,0.2164683113227146,6.157723749492382 2025-11-30,19.737822175639703,0,0.8751042288982653,1.6200125359747164 2025-12-31,11.537727309435182,0,1.0039550357690272,0.0 2026-01-31,8.187368026176705,0,0.5665924100883436,2.1034924166181117 2026-02-28,11.362179065823078,0,0.35840849401900665,2.85006179705846
Grid-level Forecasts
Pre‑computed monthly centroid points and GeoJSON polygons for PRIO‑GRID 0.5° cells.
Bulk download (latest period assets)
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Format
- Monthly points CSVs: lat,lon,v
- Combined CSV: lat,lon,m1,m2,m3,m4,m5,m6
- GeoJSON features with properties.m1..m6
Preview (first 5 rows and columns)
lat,lon,v 55.25,36.25,0.21481481001332953 54.75,37.25,0.14320988001094923 51.75,34.75,2.3704283653059974 51.75,37.75,37.43399351090193 51.25,30.75,14.973597122666737
Data Rights & Use
Unless stated otherwise, datasets on this page are licensed under CC BY‑NC 4.0 (Attribution‑NonCommercial). You may share and adapt for non‑commercial use with attribution. For commercial use, please contact us.
Attribution example:
PaCE (2025). Monthly Conflict Forecasts.Disclaimer: Provided “as is”, without warranty; not for safety‑critical decisions.
Acceptable use: Do not use to target, harass, or cause harm; comply with applicable laws.