Dissemination
Workshops, presentations, and conferences where the PaCE Research Lab shares its findings.
Workshops
2024
Conflict Forecasting Workshop: Methodological Innovations, Data Opportunities, and Policy Relevance
Trinity College Dublin, Ireland
4 November 2024
Sensitivity Analysis of Determinants of Conflict Onset
Trinity College Dublin, Ireland
31 January 2024
Three-stage Hierarchical Hurdle Count Model for Conflict Forecasting
Trinity College Dublin, Ireland
21 March 2023
Advances in Social Science Forecasting
Trinity College Dublin, Ireland
Presentations
2025
October 2025
Jungmin Han
Rebel Governance, State Atrocities, and Public Opinion on Military Intervention
BISA-ISA Joint International Conference 2025, Newcastle, UK
October 2025
Jungmin Han
The Dynamics of Competitive Intervention: Multiplicity, Rivalry, and Civil War Duration
BISA-ISA Joint International Conference 2025, Newcastle, UK
September 2025
Jungmin Han
The International Landscape of Peace: How Third-Party Interactions Shape Public Opinion on Rapprochement
Seoul Workshop for Empirical Research in Politics, Seoul, South Korea (online)
June 2025
Thomas Schincariol
The Geometry of Conflict: 3D Spatio-Temporal Patterns in Fatalities Prediction
Jan Tinbergen European Peace Science Conference, Barcelona, Spain
June 2025
Jungmin Han
Being Hawkish, To Be Democratic
British International Studies Association (BISA) Annual Conference, Belfast
May 2025
Jungmin Han
Patterns of Cooperation and Public Opinion on Rapprochement
International Meeting on Experimental and Behavioral Social Sciences (IMEBESS), Valencia, Spain
March 2025
Hannah Frank
Anticipating Conflict Onsets: Evidence From A Two-Staged Model
The Annual Conference of International Studies Association (ISA), Chicago, USA
March 2025
Jungmin Han
Being Hawkish, To Be Democratic
The Annual Conference of International Studies Association (ISA), Chicago, USA
January 2025
Junjie Liu
NeutraSum: A language Model Can Help a Balanced Media Diet by Neutralizing News Summaries
The Southern Political Science Association Annual Meeting (SPSA), San Juan, Puerto Rico
2024
September 2024
Jungmin Han
Democratic Imprints from Abroad: How External Support from Democracies Can Promote Rebel Elections in Civil Wars
The Annual Conference of American Political Science Association (APSA), Philadelphia, USA
September 2024
Hannah Frank
New Avenues for Validating Civil Conflict Theory: A Case for Interpretable Machine Learning
Annual Conference of the Conflict Research Society (CRS), Edinburgh, Scotland, United Kingdom
August 2024
Hannah Frank & Thomas Chadefaux
From Protests to Fatalities: Predicting Civil Conflict Escalation Using Protest Sequences / Patterns of Contention: The Role of Protest Sequences in Civil Conflict Escalation
General Conference of the European Consortium for Political Research (ECPR), Dublin, Ireland
July 2024
Hannah Frank & Thomas Chadefaux
Patterns of Contention: The Role of Protest Sequences in Civil Conflict Escalation
Annual Conference of European Political Science Association (ESPA), Cologne, Germany
June 2024
Hannah Frank
Structural and Procedural Theories on the Causes of Civil Conflict
Jan Tinbergen European Peace Science Conference Program, Dublin City University, Ireland
June 2024
Thomas Chadefaux
Patterns of Contention: the Role of Protest Sequences in Civil Conflict Escalation
Jan Tinbergen European Peace Science Conference Program, Dublin City University, Ireland
April 2024
Thomas Chadefaux & Hannah Frank
Mapping Peace and Conflict Research in Ireland
University College Dublin and the Department of Foreign Affairs, Dublin, Ireland
2023
October 2023
Thomas Chadefaux
Artificial Intelligence and Conflict Forecasting
DCU International Relations Society, Dublin City University, Ireland
October 2023
Hannah Frank, Thomas Schincariol, Thomas Chadefaux
Deep Learning and Machine Learning: Temporal patterns in conflict prediction - an improved shape-based approach
VIEWS Prediction Competition Workshop, Berlin, Germany
October 2023
Hannah Frank
Why do rebel groups target civilians in some cases, and not in others?
CCEW SYMPOSIUM 2023 Crisis Early Warning: What's Next? Center for Crisis Early Warning (CCEW), University of the Bundeswehr Munich, Germany
September 2023
Hannah Frank
From Protests to Fatalities: The Role of Temporal Sequences in Civil Conflict Transitions
Workshop on Conflict Dynamics, University of York, United Kingdom
August 2023
Jian Cao
Dynamic Synthetic Controls: Accounting for Varying Speeds in Comparative Case Studies
American Political Science Association Annual Meeting & Exhibition, Los Angeles, USA
July 2023
Thomas Schincariol
Leveraging Temporal Patterns in Forecasting Application in Human Migration Flow
International conference on Time Series and Forecasting, Gran Canaria, Spain
June 2023
Hannah Frank
Temporal Patterns in Protest Events
European Political Science Association 13th Annual Conference, Glasgow, Scotland
May 2023
Thomas Chadefaux
Artificial Intelligence and Conflict Forecasting
Department of Foreign Affairs, Ireland
May 2023
Yohan Park
Trade Dispute and Foreign Direct Investment
The Political Economy of International Organisation, San Diego, USA
2022
December 2022
Hannah Frank
Temporal Patterns in Protest Events
PSAI Postgraduate Conference, Queens University, Belfast, Northern Ireland
August 2022
Thomas Chadefaux
Patterns of Conflict Emergence
Crans Montana Forum, Switzerland
July 2022
Thomas Chadefaux
Patterns of Conflict Emergence
Computational Conflict Research: Charting the Paths Ahead, Munich, Germany
The views, thoughts, and opinions expressed belong solely to the speakers and do not necessarily reflect the views of their employers or organizations.